The global permanent magnet industry is currently navigating a period of unprecedented volatility that transcends typical market fluctuations. As of March 2026, the Iran conflict has evolved into a decisive “black swan” event, striking the very heart of the strontium supply chain.
With the strategic Port of Abbas suffering from intensive airstrikes and the U.S.-Iran conflict causing severe shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, the primary artery for global Celestine—the indispensable precursor for Strontium Carbonate (SrCO3)—has been effectively severed. This geopolitical paralysis has transformed the industry’s raw material outlook from a state of tight balance into an immediate, structural deficit.

Supply-Side Collapse: A Severed Global Artery
The current crisis is rooted in an extreme geographical dependency that has long been the industry’s critical vulnerability. Iran serves as the absolute core of the global Celestine supply, possessing 85% of the world’s high-grade reserves and accounting for 32% to 39% of global production.
As the world’s largest producer and consumer of Strontium Carbonate, China’s reliance on Iranian ore has reached an extreme level, with 70% of its total Celestine imports originating from Iran. In 2025 alone, China imported 99,000 tons of Celestine, of which 60% to 70% was sourced directly from Iran.
The recent airstrikes on the Port of Abbas—which typically handles 55% of Iran’s non-oil cargo—combined with heightening shipping risks in the Strait of Hormuz, have brought Iranian exports to a complete standstill. Consequently, Chinese Strontium Carbonate refineries are now confronting a “no-raw-material” reality, as the primary supply line for their essential high-grade ore has been severed.
Extreme Price Volatility: The End of Market Stability
Domestic market stability has vanished as China’s strontium carbonate industry undergoes a painful capacity-clearing cycle. Stringent environmental policies have accelerated the phase-out of inefficient facilities, creating a structural supply-demand gap that leaves no buffer for disruptions. This domestic shortage is compounded by the permanent loss of global capacity following the Kandelium factory disaster in Mexico. With 70% of Kandelium’s output previously dedicated to the Chinese market, the loss of this supply has stripped the industry of its primary relief valve.
Furthermore, alternative sources in Spain and Mexico offer limited relief. These secondary mines suffer from lower ore grades and significantly higher extraction costs compared to Iranian Celestine. Most critically, they fail to meet the purity and stability standards required for high-performance strontium ferrite production, making them unviable substitutes for premium applications. With no viable short-term solutions to fill the global void, prices have entered a state of extreme, vertical escalation as reflected in the recent market charts.
The Iran Conflict Ripple Effect: The Ferrite Margin Crisis
Manufacturers of ferrite magnets are now facing a severe test of resilience as the market grapples with a sudden and structural supply collapse. Since Strontium Carbonate accounts for 25% to 40% of the material cost for ferrite magnets, the explosive, vertical price surge—triggered by the supply shocks of the Iran conflict—has pushed the industry onto a “cost volcano”. This crisis is uniquely challenging because the disruption of Iranian Celestine exports is inherently uncontrollable. With no clear timetable for the restoration of operations at the Port of Abbas or the stabilization of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, manufacturers are operating in a state of prolonged and extreme uncertainty.
This lack of a recovery schedule has shattered traditional cost structures overnight, leaving enterprises with no transition period to recalculate budgets or renegotiate existing orders. A sharp divergence is emerging in how different market segments absorb this shock. High-end applications for ferrite magnets—specifically those serving the electric cehicle (EV) and wind power sectors—are finding it relatively feasible to pass through costs due to high technical barriers and strong customer stickiness. Conversely, the low-end market has reached a critical stalemate. In these competitive segments, the inability to transfer rising costs is forcing many small-to-medium enterprises to choose between operating at a loss or halting production entirely as their raw material inventories reach depletion.






